Selected Publications

1. Planetary Boundaries

Richardson, K., Steffen, W., Lucht, W., Bendtsen, J., Cornell, S. E., Donges, J. F., … & Rockström, J. (2023). Earth beyond six of nine planetary boundaries. Science Advances, 9(37), eadh2458: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adh2458.

Chrysafi, A., Virkki, V., Jalava, M., Sandström, V., Piipponen, J., Porkka, M., Lade, S., La Mere, K., Wang-Erlandsson, L. , […] and Kummu, M. (2022) Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production via expert elicitation. Nature Sustainability 5, 830–842: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-022-00940-6.

Persson, L., Carney Almroth, B. M., Collins, C. D., Cornell, S., de Wit, C. A., Diamond, M. L., … & Hauschild, M. Z. (2022). Outside the safe operating space of the planetary boundary for novel entities. Environmental Science & Technology, 56(3), 1510-1521: https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acs.est.1c04158.

Rockström, J., Gupta, J., Qin, D., Lade, S. J., Abrams, J. F., Andersen, L. S., … & Zhang, X. (2023). Safe and just Earth system boundaries. Nature, 619, 102–111: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06083-8.

Wang-Erlandsson, L., Tobian, A., van der Ent, R. J., Fetzer, I., te Wierik, S., Porkka, M., … & Rockström, J. (2022). A planetary boundary for green water. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment: https://www.nature.com/articles/s43017-022-00287-8.

Lade, S.J., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Staal, A., Rocha, J.C., (2021) Empirical pressure-response relations can benefit assessment of safe operating spaces. Nat Ecol Evol., 5, 1078–1079: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-020-1256-9.

Gleeson, T., Wang-Erlandsson, L., et al., (2020): The Water Planetary Boundary: Interrogation and Revision. One Earth, 2(33), 223-234: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2020.02.009.

Gleeson, T., Wang-Erlandsson, L., et al., (2020): Illuminating water cycle modifications and Earth System resilience in the Anthropocene, Water Resources Research, e24390: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR024957.

Lade, S. J., Steffen, W., De Vries, W., Carpenter, S. R., Donges, J. F., Gerten, D., … & Rockström, J. (2020). Human impacts on planetary boundaries amplified by Earth system interactions. Nature Sustainability, 3(2), 119-128: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-019-0454-4.

Zipper, S., Jaramillo, F., Wang-Erlandsson, L., et al., (2020): Integrating the water planetary boundary with water management from local to global scales, Earth’s Future, 8(2), e2019EF001377: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EF001377.

2. Earth system trajectories and resilience

Singh, C., van der Ent, R., Wang‐Erlandsson, L., & Fetzer, I. (2022). Hydroclimatic adaptation critical to the resilience of tropical forests. Global Change Biology. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16115.

Armstrong McKay, D. I., Cornell, S. E., Richardson, K., and Rockström, J. (2021): Resolving ecological feedbacks on the ocean carbon sink in Earth system models, Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 797–818, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-797-2021.

Lade, S.J., Fetzer, I., Cornell, S., Crona, B. (2021). A prototype Earth system impact metric that accounts for cross-scale interactions, Environmental Research Letters 16 (11), 115005: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2db1.

Rockström, J., Beringer, T., Hole, D., Griscom, B., Mascia, M. B., Folke, C., & Creutzig, F. (2021). We need biosphere stewardship that protects carbon sinks and builds resilience. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(38), e2115218118. https://www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.2115218118.

Steffen, W., Rockström, J., Richardson, K., Lenton, T. M., Folke, C., Liverman, D., … & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2018). Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115(33), 8252-8259. https://www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.1810141115.

Tamberg, L. A., Heitzig, J., & Donges, J. F. (2022). A modeler’s guide to studying the resilience of social-technical-environmental systems. Environmental Research Letters, 17(5), 055005. https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac60d9/meta.

3. Climatic and societal tipping elements

Wunderling, N., Winkelmann, R., Rockström, J., Loriani, S., Armstrong McKay, D. I., Ritchie, P. D., … & Donges, J. F. (2023). Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model. Nature Climate Change, 13(1), 75-82: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01545-9.

Armstrong McKay, D. I., Staal, A., Abrams, J. F., Winkelmann, R., Sakschewski, B., Loriani, S., … & Lenton, T. M. (2022). Exceeding 1.5 C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points. Science, 377(6611), eabn7950. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abn7950.

Winkelmann, R., Donges, J. F., Smith, E. K., Milkoreit, M., Eder, C., Heitzig, J., … & Lenton, T. M. (2022). Social tipping processes towards climate action: A conceptual framework. Ecological Economics, 192, 107242. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2021.107242.

Wunderling, N., Donges, J. F., Kurths, J., & Winkelmann, R. (2021). Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming. Earth System Dynamics, 12(2), 601-619. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-601-2021.

Singh, C., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Fetzer, I., Rockström, J., & van der Ent, R. (2020). Rootzone storage capacity reveals drought coping strategies along rainforest-savanna transitions. Environmental Research Letters. https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abc377.

Staal, A., Fetzer, I., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Bosmans, J. H., Dekker, S. C., van Nes, E. H., … & Tuinenburg, O. A. (2020). Hysteresis of tropical forests in the 21st century. Nature Communications, 11(1), 1-8. https://www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.2120777119.

Otto, I. M., Donges, J. F., Cremades, R., Bhowmik, A., Hewitt, R. J., Lucht, W., … & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2020). Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(5), 2354-2365. https://www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.1900577117.

4. Integrated World-Earth system modelling

Anderies, J. M., Barfuss, W., Donges, J. F., Fetzer, I., Heitzig, J., & Rockström, J. (2023). A modeling framework for World-Earth system resilience: exploring social inequality and Earth system tipping points. Environmental Research Letters, 18(9), 095001: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ace91d.

Donges, J. F., Lucht, W., Cornell, S. E., Heitzig, J., Barfuss, W., Lade, S. J., & Schlüter, M. (2021). Taxonomies for structuring models for World–Earth systems analysis of the Anthropocene: subsystems, their interactions and social–ecological feedback loops. Earth System Dynamics, 12(4), 1115-1137. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1115-2021.

Donges, J. F., Heitzig, J., Barfuss, W., Wiedermann, M., Kassel, J. A., Kittel, T., … & Lucht, W. (2020). Earth system modeling with endogenous and dynamic human societies: the copan: CORE open World–Earth modeling framework. Earth System Dynamics, 11(2), 395-413: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-395-2020.

Randers, J., Rockström, J., Stoknes, P. E., Goluke, U., Collste, D., Cornell, S. E., & Donges, J. (2019). Achieving the 17 Sustainable Development Goals within 9 planetary boundaries. Global Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2019.22.