Selected Publications

1. Planetary Boundaries

Chrysafi, A., Virkki, V., Jalava, M., Sandström, V., Piipponen, J., Porkka, M., Lade, S., La Mere, K., Wang-Erlandsson, L. , […] and Kummu, M. (2022) Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production via expert elicitation. Nature Sustainability 5, 830–842:

Persson, L., Carney Almroth, B. M., Collins, C. D., Cornell, S., de Wit, C. A., Diamond, M. L., … & Hauschild, M. Z. (2022). Outside the safe operating space of the planetary boundary for novel entities. Environmental Science & Technology, 56(3), 1510-1521:

Wang-Erlandsson, L., Tobian, A., van der Ent, R. J., Fetzer, I., te Wierik, S., Porkka, M., … & Rockström, J. (2022). A planetary boundary for green water. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment:

Lade, S.J., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Staal, A., Rocha, J.C., (2021) Empirical pressure-response relations can benefit assessment of safe operating spaces. Nat Ecol Evol., 5, 1078–1079:

Gleeson, T., Wang-Erlandsson, L., et al., (2020): The Water Planetary Boundary: Interrogation and Revision. One Earth, 2(33), 223-234:

Gleeson, T., Wang-Erlandsson, L., et al., (2020): Illuminating water cycle modifications and Earth System resilience in the Anthropocene, Water Resources Research, e24390:

Lade, S. J., Steffen, W., De Vries, W., Carpenter, S. R., Donges, J. F., Gerten, D., … & Rockström, J. (2020). Human impacts on planetary boundaries amplified by Earth system interactions. Nature Sustainability, 3(2), 119-128:

Zipper, S., Jaramillo, F., Wang-Erlandsson, L., et al., (2020): Integrating the water planetary boundary with water management from local to global scales, Earth’s Future, 8(2), e2019EF001377:

2. Earth system trajectories and resilience

Singh, C., van der Ent, R., Wang‐Erlandsson, L., & Fetzer, I. (2022). Hydroclimatic adaptation critical to the resilience of tropical forests. Global Change Biology.

Armstrong McKay, D. I., Cornell, S. E., Richardson, K., and Rockström, J. (2021): Resolving ecological feedbacks on the ocean carbon sink in Earth system models, Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 797–818,

Lade, S.J., Fetzer, I., Cornell, S., Crona, B. (2021). A prototype Earth system impact metric that accounts for cross-scale interactions, Environmental Research Letters 16 (11), 115005:

Rockström, J., Beringer, T., Hole, D., Griscom, B., Mascia, M. B., Folke, C., & Creutzig, F. (2021). We need biosphere stewardship that protects carbon sinks and builds resilience. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(38), e2115218118.

Steffen, W., Rockström, J., Richardson, K., Lenton, T. M., Folke, C., Liverman, D., … & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2018). Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115(33), 8252-8259.

Tamberg, L. A., Heitzig, J., & Donges, J. F. (2022). A modeler’s guide to studying the resilience of social-technical-environmental systems. Environmental Research Letters, 17(5), 055005.

3. Climatic and societal tipping elements

N. Wunderling, R. Winkelmann, J. Rockström, S. Loriani, D.I. Armstrong McKay, P.D.L. Ritchie, B. Sakschewski, J.F. Donges (2022), Global warming overshoots increase risk of triggering climate tipping points and cascades, in press at Nature Climate Change.

Armstrong McKay, D. I., Staal, A., Abrams, J. F., Winkelmann, R., Sakschewski, B., Loriani, S., … & Lenton, T. M. (2022). Exceeding 1.5 C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points. Science, 377(6611), eabn7950.

Winkelmann, R., Donges, J. F., Smith, E. K., Milkoreit, M., Eder, C., Heitzig, J., … & Lenton, T. M. (2022). Social tipping processes towards climate action: A conceptual framework. Ecological Economics, 192, 107242.

Wunderling, N., Donges, J. F., Kurths, J., & Winkelmann, R. (2021). Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming. Earth System Dynamics, 12(2), 601-619.

Singh, C., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Fetzer, I., Rockström, J., & van der Ent, R. (2020). Rootzone storage capacity reveals drought coping strategies along rainforest-savanna transitions. Environmental Research Letters.

Staal, A., Fetzer, I., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Bosmans, J. H., Dekker, S. C., van Nes, E. H., … & Tuinenburg, O. A. (2020). Hysteresis of tropical forests in the 21st century. Nature Communications, 11(1), 1-8.

Otto, I. M., Donges, J. F., Cremades, R., Bhowmik, A., Hewitt, R. J., Lucht, W., … & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2020). Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(5), 2354-2365.

4. Integrated World-Earth system modelling

Donges, J. F., Lucht, W., Cornell, S. E., Heitzig, J., Barfuss, W., Lade, S. J., & Schlüter, M. (2021). Taxonomies for structuring models for World–Earth systems analysis of the Anthropocene: subsystems, their interactions and social–ecological feedback loops. Earth System Dynamics, 12(4), 1115-1137.

Donges, J. F., Heitzig, J., Barfuss, W., Wiedermann, M., Kassel, J. A., Kittel, T., … & Lucht, W. (2020). Earth system modeling with endogenous and dynamic human societies: the copan: CORE open World–Earth modeling framework. Earth System Dynamics, 11(2), 395-413:

Randers, J., Rockström, J., Stoknes, P. E., Goluke, U., Collste, D., Cornell, S. E., & Donges, J. (2019). Achieving the 17 Sustainable Development Goals within 9 planetary boundaries. Global Sustainability.