Publications

1. Planetary Boundaries

Wang-Erlandsson, L., Tobian, A., van der Ent, R. J., Fetzer, I., te Wierik, S., Porkka, M., … & Rockström, J. (2022). A planetary boundary for green water. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment: https://www.nature.com/articles/s43017-022-00287-8

Persson, L., Carney Almroth, B. M., Collins, C. D., Cornell, S., de Wit, C. A., Diamond, M. L., … & Hauschild, M. Z. (2022). Outside the safe operating space of the planetary boundary for novel entities. Environmental Science & Technology, 56(3), 1510-1521: https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acs.est.1c04158

Lade, S. J., Steffen, W., De Vries, W., Carpenter, S. R., Donges, J. F., Gerten, D., … & Rockström, J. (2020). Human impacts on planetary boundaries amplified by Earth system interactions. Nature Sustainability, 3(2), 119-128: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-019-0454-4

2. Earth system trajectories and resilience

Singh, C., van der Ent, R., Wang‐Erlandsson, L., & Fetzer, I. (2022). Hydroclimatic adaptation critical to the resilience of tropical forests. Global Change Biology. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16115

Rockström, J., Beringer, T., Hole, D., Griscom, B., Mascia, M. B., Folke, C., & Creutzig, F. (2021). We need biosphere stewardship that protects carbon sinks and builds resilience. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(38), e2115218118. https://www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.2115218118

Steffen, W., Rockström, J., Richardson, K., Lenton, T. M., Folke, C., Liverman, D., … & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2018). Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115(33), 8252-8259. https://www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.1810141115

Tamberg, L. A., Heitzig, J., & Donges, J. F. (2022). A modeler’s guide to studying the resilience of social-technical-environmental systems. Environmental Research Letters, 17(5), 055005. https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac60d9/meta

3. Climatic and societal tipping elements

N. Wunderling, R. Winkelmann, J. Rockström, S. Loriani, D.I. Armstrong McKay, P.D.L. Ritchie, B. Sakschewski, J.F. Donges (2022), Global warming overshoots increase risk of triggering climate tipping points and cascades, in press at Nature Climate Change.

Armstrong McKay, D. I., Staal, A., Abrams, J. F., Winkelmann, R., Sakschewski, B., Loriani, S., … & Lenton, T. M. (2022). Exceeding 1.5 C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points. Science, 377(6611), eabn7950. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abn7950

Winkelmann, R., Donges, J. F., Smith, E. K., Milkoreit, M., Eder, C., Heitzig, J., … & Lenton, T. M. (2022). Social tipping processes towards climate action: A conceptual framework. Ecological Economics, 192, 107242. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2021.107242

Wunderling, N., Donges, J. F., Kurths, J., & Winkelmann, R. (2021). Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming. Earth System Dynamics, 12(2), 601-619. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-601-2021

Singh, C., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Fetzer, I., Rockström, J., & van der Ent, R. (2020). Rootzone storage capacity reveals drought coping strategies along rainforest-savanna transitions. Environmental Research Letters. https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abc377

Staal, A., Fetzer, I., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Bosmans, J. H., Dekker, S. C., van Nes, E. H., … & Tuinenburg, O. A. (2020). Hysteresis of tropical forests in the 21st century. Nature Communications, 11(1), 1-8. https://www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.2120777119

Otto, I. M., Donges, J. F., Cremades, R., Bhowmik, A., Hewitt, R. J., Lucht, W., … & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2020). Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(5), 2354-2365. https://www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.1900577117

4. Integrated World-Earth system modelling

Donges, J. F., Lucht, W., Cornell, S. E., Heitzig, J., Barfuss, W., Lade, S. J., & Schlüter, M. (2021). Taxonomies for structuring models for World–Earth systems analysis of the Anthropocene: subsystems, their interactions and social–ecological feedback loops. Earth System Dynamics, 12(4), 1115-1137. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-1115-2021

Donges, J. F., Heitzig, J., Barfuss, W., Wiedermann, M., Kassel, J. A., Kittel, T., … & Lucht, W. (2020). Earth system modeling with endogenous and dynamic human societies: the copan: CORE open World–Earth modeling framework. Earth System Dynamics, 11(2), 395-413: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-395-2020

Randers, J., Rockström, J., Stoknes, P. E., Goluke, U., Collste, D., Cornell, S. E., & Donges, J. (2019). Achieving the 17 Sustainable Development Goals within 9 planetary boundaries. Global Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2019.22